India's nascent semiconductor sector faces China's push in older chips

TL;DR

India’s first semiconductor fabrication plant is set to open, but experts warn China’s expanding capacity in mature-node chips may challenge India’s ambitions. The development highlights ongoing global competition in semiconductor manufacturing.

India’s first semiconductor fabrication plant is scheduled to begin operations later this year, but industry experts warn that China’s aggressive expansion in mature-node chip production could hinder India’s efforts to establish a competitive domestic semiconductor ecosystem.

India is preparing to launch its first semiconductor manufacturing facility, aiming to reduce dependence on foreign chips and bolster its technology sector. However, China is rapidly increasing its capacity for mature-node chips—older-generation semiconductors used in various applications—potentially outpacing India in this segment. According to industry analysts, China’s expansion could make it more challenging for India’s new plant to secure a foothold in the global supply chain, especially in the market for older chips which are still widely used in consumer electronics and industrial equipment. The Chinese government has prioritized mature-node chip production as part of its broader strategy to dominate global semiconductor markets, with several new factories coming online in recent months, according to reports from Nikkei Asia.

Why It Matters

This development is significant because it highlights the intensifying competition between India and China in the semiconductor industry, particularly in the mature-chip segment. For India, establishing a domestic chip industry is a strategic goal to enhance technological independence and economic growth. China’s expansion in this area could challenge India’s market share and influence global supply chains, potentially impacting prices and availability of older chips worldwide. The outcome of this competition may also influence geopolitical dynamics, as semiconductor technology remains a critical element of national security and economic power.

Fundamentals of Semiconductor Manufacturing and Process Control (IEEE Press)

Fundamentals of Semiconductor Manufacturing and Process Control (IEEE Press)

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Background

India has been actively working to develop its semiconductor industry, with plans to attract investments and establish manufacturing capabilities. The upcoming plant is part of this broader effort, supported by government incentives and international partnerships. Meanwhile, China has been investing heavily in semiconductor capacity, especially in mature-node chips, which are less technologically complex but still essential for many products. Recent reports indicate China is on track to account for nearly half of global mature-chip capacity in the near future, intensifying competition in this segment. This push comes amid ongoing global supply chain disruptions and U.S.-China tensions over technology access, which have further complicated the landscape for emerging markets like India.

“Experts warn that China’s rapid expansion in mature-node chip capacity could pose a significant challenge to India’s new semiconductor industry.”

— Ananta Agarwal, Nikkei Asia

“India’s first plant is a positive step, but without addressing the competitive pressure from China, it may struggle to establish a significant market share in mature chips.”

— Industry analyst

Amazon

mature-node semiconductor chips

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What Remains Unclear

It remains unclear how effectively India’s new plant will compete once operational, or how China’s capacity expansion will influence global chip prices and supply dynamics in the coming years.

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Non-Functional Silicon IC Die Wafer, Bare CPU Semiconductor Chip Sample with CMOS Lithography Patterns for Teaching, STEM Education, and Art Display (0.24" x 0.12" 1 Box /80 pcs)

IC Type: Semiconductor

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What’s Next

India’s government and industry stakeholders will monitor the plant’s opening and operational performance closely. Meanwhile, China continues to expand its capacity, with further factory launches expected. The next few quarters will reveal how these developments influence global supply chains and market shares in the mature-chip segment.

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Key Questions

What is a mature-node chip?

Mature-node chips are older-generation semiconductors typically manufactured at larger process nodes, used in various consumer electronics, industrial equipment, and automotive applications.

Why is China’s expansion in mature-chip capacity significant?

Because it could dominate the global supply of these essential components, potentially limiting India’s market opportunities and affecting worldwide availability and prices.

What is India’s goal in developing its semiconductor industry?

India aims to reduce dependence on imported chips, foster technological independence, and boost its digital economy through domestic manufacturing capabilities.

When is India’s first semiconductor plant expected to start production?

The plant is scheduled to come online later this year, with operational details still being finalized.

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